Indigenous communities have the innovation and drive to build a cleaner more resilient energy sector. That is why Canada is investing to increase Indigenous economic participation in energy infrastructure projects.
U.S. natural gas production may grow up to 60 percent in next 20 years
A decade since the start of a shale gas revolution that unlocked new supplies and resulted in a "wholesale turnaround" in U.S. production, the overall size of recoverable gas reserves continues to increase and the pace of production growth is only accelerating, a new report by business information provider IHS Markit says.
IHS Markit expects natural gas production to rise by almost 8 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d), more than 10 percent, in 2018 alone. Altogether, U.S. production is expected to grow by another 60 percent over the next 20 years, the report says.
Additionally, IHS Markit now estimates that approximately 1,250 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of U.S. supply is economic below $4 per MMBtu Henry Hub price today, up from a previous estimate of 900 Tcf in 2010.
The new report, entitled The Shale Gale Turns 10: A Powerful Wind at America's Back, assesses the impacts of the first 10 years of the unconventional gas revolution—unlocked through the combination of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling technologies—and its future potential. When the shale revolution began a decade ago, the prevailing assumption was that the U.S. supply base was being exhausted and that the country would have to become a major importer of liquefied natural gas (LNG).
Instead, in what the report describes as a "wholesale turnaround," U.S. output rose by more than 40 percent in that first decade (2007-2017) and real natural gas prices fell by two thirds during the same period.
In contrast to the assumption a decade ago, the United States is now on track to become one of the world's major LNG exporters, the report notes. IHS Markit expects U.S. LNG export capacity to more than double in the next five years and rise to at least 10 Bcf/d by 2023.
"To say that the ‘Shale Gale'—as IHS Markit originally coined it in 2010—has been anything but a veritable revolution would be an understatement," said Daniel Yergin, vice chairman, IHS Markit and co-author of the report. "It represents a dramatic and largely unanticipated turnaround that dramatically changed both markets and long-term thinking about energy. The profound and ongoing impacts on the industry, energy markets, the wider economy and the U.S. position in the world continue to unfold."
The most dramatic effect has been on the U.S. electric power industry, the report says. Where coal and nuclear had previously dominated the growth in share of U.S. electric power generation, natural gas has become a "backbone of electric generation" and regularly competes with coal for the largest share of total electric generation. By 2040, IHS Markit expects natural gas' share to grow from almost one-third to nearly half of all electricity generated in the United States.
The report observes that the Shale Gale, has also made a major contribution to reducing U.S. CO2 emissions. IHS Markit estimates that in 2017, CO2 emissions from power generation were down 30 percent from 2005. More than half of that emission decline was from gas replacing coal.
What started with natural gas would be extended to oil a few years later, with enormous global impact, the report notes. Between 2008 and 2018, U.S. oil output more than doubled and exceeded the previous height set in 1970. On a net basis, the United States went from importing 60 percent of its liquid fuel at the peak to below 16 percent in 2018—and the share is still falling. The United States is now on track to be the world's largest oil producer, ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia, by early next year.
The combined developments of unconventional oil and gas have had far-reaching impacts for the manufacturing sector and the U.S. economy as a whole, the report says.
IHS Markit estimates that more than $120 billion in new capital investments will be spent from 2012-2020 to expand U.S. petrochemical manufacturing capacity—a result of abundant and inexpensive natural gas and natural gas liquids providing advantages in terms of thermal energy, feedstock and electricity costs. "Ancillary" investments could double that number, the report says.
Previous IHS Markit research found that as many as four million jobs (indirect, direct and induced) could be supported by unconventional activity by 2025.
"U.S. power markets and the economy overall would look significantly different had the shale revolution not taken place," said Sam Andrus, executive director, IHS Markit and co-author of the report. "The new outlook for natural gas cost and availability has created new possibilities for progress toward national goals of energy efficiency, cost efficiency, environmental protection and energy security. In short, the Shale Gale put a powerful new wind at America's back."
The Shale Gale Turns 10 will be followed by a series of research papers available to IHS Markit clients, exploring the global implications of the Shale Gale for the energy value chain, economies and geopolitics.
More from Industry News
While both Alberta and Texas were hit hard by the oil-price drop in 2014, the Texas unemployment rate has dropped while the Alberta rate has risen, finds a new study released today by the Fraser Institute, an independent, non-partisan Canadian public policy think-tank.
Obsidian Energy has continued to make good progress moving through the second quarter of 2019, according to its most recent financial reports.
Certarus Ltd. enters into CNG supply agreement with Kirkland Lake Gold for its Canadian mining operations
Certarus Ltd. has entered into a long term compressed natural gas ("CNG") supply agreement with Kirkland Lake Gold for the implementation of bulk compressed natural gas to service the heating requirements at all of its Canadian mining operations.
FLO Components Ltd. is representing Macnaught in Ontario and Manitoba. Macnaught has been a manufacturer of grease, oil and fuel equipment, hose reels and positive displacement flow meters for the agricultural, automotive, industrial, mining and transport industries across the globe, since 1948.
CAS DataLoggers provided the data acquisition solution for MTS Solutions, an oil field service company headquartered in Bakersfield, California. MTS has been providing well stimulation services in California for over 30 years, maximizing production for clients using both traditional and green products. Data Acquisition Operations Engineer Kevin England explains, "We're a small business 25-man crew, as opposed to a multi-national company, so we needed a cost-effective monitoring solution for our jobs that still had the advanced functionality our customers require."
Baker Hughes announced that the Baker Hughes Rig Count for the U.S. is down 8 rigs from last week to 934, with oil rigs down 6 to 764, gas rigs down 2 to 169, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1. This is the tenth straight week that the American rig count has declined,
Single Phase Power Solutions, the world's only manufacturer of high horsepower single phase electric motors, match their motors to a pump to provide instant productivity. Available from 30 to 100 HP these single phase pump solutions are easily installed by simply connecting to available single phase utility power - they do not require a phase converter or Variable Frequency Drive (VFD). The company incorporates their Belle Single-Phase MotorT which uses Written-PoleR technology to power standard suction end centrifugal pumps, rotary gear pumps, and turbine pumps in both horizontal and vertical configurations. These pump solutions are ideal for irrigation, drinking water distribution, well pumps, aquifer management, water treatment, wastewater pumping, wastewater collection, wastewater treatment and discharge, and other water and wastewater processing applications. With expertise in pump systems design and manufacture, Single Phase Power Solutions team helps determine the correct materials and style of pump to suit specific application requirements.
In its second quarter financial results, AltaGas Canada Inc. announced that the business is maintaining a strong position and will continue to move forward with growth programs in the near future.
KROHNE, Inc. announces PipePatrol, a comprehensive suite of software modules for long or short distance single and multiproduct pipelines for oil, gas, water, chemical or refined products offers monitoring and protection of pipelines in all operating conditions.
Baker Hughes, a GE company announced that the Baker Hughes international rig count for July 2019 was 1,162, up 24 from the 1,138 counted in June 2019, and up 165 from the 997 counted in July 2018. The international offshore rig count for July 2019 was 255, up 9 from the 246 counted in June 2019, and up 38 from the 217 counted in July 2018.
Superior Industries, Inc., the U.S. based manufacturer and global supplier of bulk material processing and handling systems, has announced a new partnership with Canada's largest distributor of conveyor belting, components and other bulk material handling solutions. Belterra, a 50-year-old distributor with 19 locations throughout the country, will stock, sell and service Superior's conveyor idlers, pulleys, scrapers and accessories in Quebec.
Motive Offshore Group, specialists in marine equipment fabrication and rental, has announced the launch of Motive Personnel - a division specifically created to provide offshore technicians to its global customer base.
Abrado Wellbore Services, the specialist global, expandable section milling plug and abandonment service technology company, has secured a multi-million dollar contract from Chevron's Environmental Management Company to support the plug and abandonment (P&A) of more than 30 wells offshore California.
Baker Hughes announced that the Baker Hughes Rig Count for the U.S. is down 4 rigs from last week to 942, with oil rigs down 6 to 770, gas rigs up 2 to 171, and miscellaneous rigs unchanged at 1.
TC PipeLines, LP reported net income attributable to controlling interests of $55 million and distributable cash flow of $70 million for the three months ended June 30, 2019.
Iris Automation, Skyfront and Echodyne power first ever beyond-visual-line-of-sight drone flight without human visual observers
The University of Alaska's Unmanned Aircraft Systems Integration Pilot Program (UASIPP) has conducted the first ever beyond-visual-line-of-sight (BVLOS) drone operation without visual observers, an industry milestone powered by Iris Automation's on-board, and Echodyne's ground-based, detect-and-avoid systems integrated onto a Skyfront Perimeter UAV.
MEG Energy announces record $195 million free cash flow, $285 million debt repayment and new 5-Year credit facility
MEG Energy Corp. has reported its second quarter 2019 operational and financial results. The company reported a record free cash flow of $195 million for the quarter, a solid production level and good movement towards its yearly targets.
Canadian Natural has announced its second quarter results for 2019, with the company stating its diverse, balanced asset base plus flexible capital allocation helped an adjusted funds flow of approximately $2.7 billion.
Mammoet has announced its intentions to acquire ALE. Both companies are specialists in engineered heavy lifting and transport for sectors such as the petrochemical industry, renewable energy, power generation, civil construction and the offshore industry.
The Petroleum Services Association of Canada (PSAC), in its third update to its 2019 Canadian Drilling Activity Forecast, announced that it is decreasing its forecasted number of wells to be drilled (rig released) across Canada for 2019 from 5,300 (May 2019 revision) to 5,100 wells drilled. PSAC based its updated 2019 Forecast on average natural gas prices of $1.60 CDN/Mcf (AECO), crude oil prices of US$57.00/barrel (WTI) and the Canada-US exchange rate averaging $0.76.
Encana Corporation has announced its second quarter 2019 financial and operating results, reporting solid production increases and continued movement in repurchasing of its common shares, among other highlights.
The National Energy Board (NEB) has determined that the Coastal GasLink Pipeline Project (Project) does not fall within its jurisdiction. The Project does not form a part of the NOVA Gas Transmission Ltd. (NGTL) System, and is not vital or integral to it (NGTL), or any other federally regulated pipeline.
The Joint Review Panel established to review the Frontier Oil Sands Mine Project, proposed by Teck Resources Limited (the proponent), has submitted its report to the Minister of Environment and Climate Change. The review was completed in accordance with the Agreement to Establish a Joint Review Panel for the Frontier Oil Sands Mine Project, issued on May 19, 2016 and amended on August 24, 2017.
The Petroleum Services Association of Canada (PSAC) has announced that its "PSAC Working Energy Golf Classic", powering Canadian energy and education and raising funds for awareness and education, raised over $39,000 thanks to the generosity of energy industry companies, employees, their guests, and the numerous sponsors whose livelihoods depend on the health of the industry. The sold-out event took place July 24 at the Inglewood Golf & Curling Club.
Cenovus Energy Inc. reduced net debt to $7.1 billion in the second quarter after generating over $830 million in free funds flow. The company's excellent financial performance was driven by higher realized oil prices, which contributed to oil sands operating margin of more than $1.0 billion.
Husky Energy generated funds from operations of $802 million in the second quarter, with net earnings of $370 million. Cash flow from operating activities, including changes in non-cash working capital, was $760 million, compared to $1 billion in Q2 2018.
Suncor has reported strong performance during the second quarter of 2019, despite the ongoing impact of production curtailments in Alberta.
Cuda Oil and Gas Inc. has entered into a series of binding Asset Purchase Agreements to sell all of its oil and gas assets and related liabilities located in the Province of Quebec at a total transaction value of CAD$10.59 million, including cash consideration at closing of CAD $4.29 million, to arm's-length purchasers. The Transaction is anticipated to close on or about August 30, 2019.
Cenovus Energy Inc. has published its 2018 environmental, social & governance (ESG) report detailing the company's progress in advancing environmental, health and safety performance, investing in and engaging with the communities where it operates and maintaining the highest standards of corporate governance. A number of Cenovus's key performance indicators for land, air and water improved last year, partly due to ongoing process improvements and partly due to the sale of the company's legacy conventional assets in 2017 and early 2018.
A major new initiative that adds genomics technologies to traditional geoscience aims to reduce the risk for oil exploration in Nova Scotia's offshore.
The NEB has decided how regulatory processes for the Trans Mountain Expansion Project (Project) will continue, including detailed route and condition compliance processes.
Messer highlights new "Huff 'N Puff" treatment to recharge well stimulation at the Unconventional Resources Technology Conference 2019
At URTeC 2019, Messer is highlighting its RECHARGE HNP, or "Huff ‘n Puff," technology, a proven solution for well production enhancement. Ideal for re-stimulating depleted oil and gas wells, the energized RECHARGE HNP treatment combines the proven enhanced recovery properties of carbon dioxide (CO2) or nitrogen (N2) with the latest in advanced nanoparticle technology from Nissan Chemical. URTeC takes place July 22 – 24 in Denver.
Suncor has released its annual Report on Sustainability which details the company's environmental, social and economic performance. Suncor's perspective on the challenges and opportunities of climate change, and the transition to a low-carbon economy are contained in its third Climate Risk and Resilience Report available within the Report on Sustainability and as a stand-alone downloadable PDF. The annual Report on Sustainability is available both online and as a downloadable PDF.
The ability of Canada's energy sector to attract investment has been weakened by several government policies in recent years, all the while investment in the United States has soared, finds a new collection of essays released today by the Fraser Institute, a Canadian policy think-tank.
FortisBC has entered into its first term supply agreement to produce liquefied natural gas (LNG) for Top Speed Energy Corp. to export to China. This term supply agreement is an unprecedented development in Canada's LNG export industry and was made possible by the completion of the Tilbury LNG expansion project in Delta, B.C. earlier this year.
The Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency (the Agency) must decide whether a federal environmental assessment is required for the proposed Kitimat LNG Expansion Project, located at Bish Cove, near Kitimat, British Columbia.
Canada's Oil Sands Innovation Alliance (COSIA) is pleased to announce the appointment of Wes Jickling as the organization's next Chief Executive, effective August 6, 2019. The appointment aligns with COSIA's updated strategic plan, focused on accelerating environmental performance through collaborative action and innovation, while sharing its story with Canadians and beyond.
Encana Corporation wholly owned subsidiary Newfield Exploration Mid-Continent Inc. has signed an agreement to sell its natural gas assets in Oklahoma's Arkoma Basin to an undisclosed buyer. Total cash consideration to Encana under the transaction is $165 million. The agreement is subject to ordinary closing conditions, regulatory approvals and other adjustments and is expected to close in the third quarter of 2019.
Campaigns that attack Alberta's energy interests will be investigated through a public inquiry launched by the provincial government.